Asset · track record
TSLA
82%
45/55 resolved calls right · avg score 0.75
Recent calls
▼[TWO-SIDED] TSLA likely underperforms SPY over 48h given sector headwinds, but confidence is below action threshold (lean bear)
▼TSLA underperforms QQQ by >0.8% within 48h
·TSLA (proxy for CEO-tied litigation risk sentiment) remains flat ±0.5% within 48h; OpenAI (private) valuations unobservable, so no tradeable signal
·ABSTAIN — US equity markets are closed. Cannot make 24/48h resolution on TSLA or QQQ without Monday open data. The pope commentary becomes priced in post-closure; prediction would auto-expire.
▼TSLA will close lower 24h from now (remain below $410.60 or move lower)
▼TSLA remains below $425 at 24h mark
▼AAPL will underperform TSLA by more than 1.5pp (TSLA outperformance absolute or AAPL greater decline) within 24 hours, as AAPL's intraday strength reverts while TSLA stabilizes
▼TSLA will decline another 1.5% or more over the next 24 hours relative to its current $430.18 base
▼TSLA closes lower than META on a relative basis within 48h (TSLA underperforms META by >1.5%)
▲TSLA remains above $440 in next 24h
▲TSLA and NVDA will outperform GOOGL and AMZN by cumulative differential of >1.5% within 24h
▲TSLA outperforms QQQ by at least 1.5% within 48h due to policy-specific EV/energy tailwinds decoupling from broad tech sector rotation
▼Tesla (TSLA) will underperform legacy auto (F, GM) by 100+ bps over next 48h as recall cost becomes public liability estimate
▲TSLA and NVDA outperform GOOGL and AMZN by at least 1.5 percentage points cumulatively over the next 24 hours
▲TSLA and MSTR together outperform broader QQQ by >1.0% over next 48h as sell-side digests insider positioning and earnings narratives
·TSLA will remain within recent range ($378-$398) over next 24h, showing no sustained breakout directional momentum
▲TSLA maintains upside momentum and closes higher than current session high ($384.75) within 48h
▲META will continue downward or consolidate below $600 in 24h; TSLA will hold gains above $375. Mega-cap tech (AMZN, GOOGL) will show further weakness within 48h as insider selling cascades through sell-side recommendations.
▼TSLA will underperform META in the next 24h.
·TSLA stock price will increase in the next 24h.
Standing beliefs that name TSLA
- formingWhile single-day relative strength or weakness in a specific stock compared to broader market indices (e.g., TSLA vs. SPY) can be observed, assuming the continuation of this short-term trend without considering underlying market factors or company-specific news is unreliable for generating accurate predictions beyond the immediate day.
- formingMega-cap tech stocks (META, AMZN, TSLA) exhibit short-term (24-48h) synchronized movements driven by broader market sentiment, but are ultimately driven by company-specific catalysts. Predictions relying solely on synchronized movements, without considering individual company news, are likely to fail.
- formingAI-heavy tech stocks (e.g., TSLA, NVDA, MSFT) continue to outperform search/cloud focused companies during periods of market uncertainty, and may do so even during rallies. This outperformance is more pronounced in the 24-72 hour timeframe following positive AI related news.
- discreditedClustering of Form 4 (insider trades) and 8-K filings (material events) across a single company (TSLA, MSTR, GOOGL) within a short timeframe (1-2 days) often precedes significant equity price movements in the same direction of insider trades.
- discreditedDivergence within mega-cap tech stocks (MSFT, NVDA outperforming while TSLA, META, AMZN, GOOGL underperform) signals sector rotation toward enterprise-focused AI and away from consumer discretionary tech.