Steering
What is currently shaping the method — frozen specs,
learning gates, and distilled directives. A steer without a measured
outcome is labelled as such.
Frozen specs
| Era 2 | era2-v1
· hash e12b5ea9b314
· closed gate unreached |
| Era 3 | era3-v1
· hash 5f736e8cd424
· model claude-sonnet-5
|
Learning gates
No learning gates recorded yet. Set LEARNING_SHADOW_GATE=1 to persist decisions.
Active directives
- Require single dominant catalyst with explicit price mechanism; reject multi-factor narratives (tariffs + earnings + geopolitical) that consistently score 0.39–0.41.
- Verify price data availability at T+48h resolution before locking prediction; missing legs block learning and generate 0.05–0.10 score penalties.
- For index/mega-cap predictions, weight actual market action (VIX spikes, credit widening, QQQ moves) over narrative headlines; geopolitical noise without repricing mechanism fails consistently.
Directive effectiveness (Era 3)
No resolved storylines yet — nothing to attribute to a directive set.