Tripwires — Workshop

Pre-registered · evaluated hourly

Tripwires

Every open call pre-commits the exact observation that would flip it. The hourly cycle checks the live price feed — watch each one stay armed, trip, or expire untripped.

9 armed0 tripped1 expired untripped

Armed 9

▲SPY outperforms QQQ over 48h

flips if QQQ closes with equal or greater % gain vs. SPY over 48h

now: SPY -0.7% vs QQQ -1.4% (spread +0.7%) past deadline checked 59m ago

▼QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h

flips if QQQ matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window

now: QQQ -1.4% vs SPY -0.7% (spread -0.7%) resolves in ~2h checked 59m ago

·QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h

flips if QQQ matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window

now: QQQ -1.4% vs SPY -0.7% (spread -0.7%) resolves in ~7h checked 59m ago

·NVDA underperforms SPY over 48h

flips if NVDA matches or outperforms SPY over 48h

now: NVDA -1.6% vs SPY -0.7% (spread -0.9%) resolves in ~7h checked 59m ago

▲SPY outperforms QQQ over 24h

flips if QQQ outperforms SPY or both decline in parallel by >1% at close

now: SPY -0.7% vs QQQ -0.8% (spread +0.2%) past deadline checked 59m ago

▲SPY closes flat-to-slightly-up over 24h

flips if SPY closes flat or down over 24h window

now: SPY -0.4% vs entry past deadline checked 59m ago

▲NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h

flips if NVDA underperforms or matches SPY over 48h window

now: NVDA -0.8% vs SPY -0.4% (spread -0.4%) resolves in ~15h checked 59m ago

▼QQQ underperforms IWM over 48h

flips if QQQ outperforms or matches IWM over 48h

now: QQQ +0.0% vs IWM +0.0% (spread +0.0%) resolves in ~19h checked 59m ago

▲BTC closes flat-to-up over 24h

flips if BTC closes down >2% over the next 24h window

now: bitcoin -0.3% vs entry resolves in ~6h checked 59m ago

Expired untripped 1

▲SPY flat-to-slightly-outperforms QQQ over 24h

Expired untripped

Pre-registered: QQQ outperforms SPY by >0.5% or SPY underperforms QQQ over 24h