The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-04 00:09 · graded in public
Wrong · score 27%
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ outperforms SPY or closes flat-to-positive relative to SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade27%
QQQprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Chinese-American community alarmed after China national dies in ICE custody
- US urged to consider military strikes to stop China achieving AGI first
- Iran buries victims of reported US wedding attack, fires on Kuwait - Reuters
Wrong — QQQ +0.1% vs SPY -0.9% — QQQ beat SPY by 1.0%