The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ closes flat-to-down relative to SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-03 15:58 · graded in public
Wrong · score 27%
directionDOWN
confidence50%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ outperforms SPY (higher % close-to-close gain) over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade27%
QQQprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- SPY: $773.05 (+1.03%) range $766.83-$773.26 — up
- QQQ: $717.55 (+1.17%) range $709.69-$717.87 — up
- AAPL: $329.42 (+1.37%) range $324.11-$330.81 — up
- META: $616.51 (+3.99%) range $601.74-$619.46 — up
Wrong — QQQ +0.3% vs SPY -0.8% — QQQ beat SPY by 1.0%