The call ▲ UP
SMH outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-09 03:42 · graded in public
Wrong · score 26%
directionUP
confidence50%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifSMH closes flat-to-down relative to SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade26%
SMHprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Muse – Meta’s personal AI agent
- AlphaGenome Atlas: a high-resolution map of human DNA
- AI cancer cures slowed by chip shortage, says UK's biggest tech boss
- Goldman Says Slowing Inflation Is Best Path to Lower US Yields
Wrong — SMH -2.3% vs SPY -1.1% — SMH trailed SPY by 1.3%