{"id": 10451, "prediction_verbatim": "SMH outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: SMH closes flat-to-down relative to SPY over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-09-09 03:42:37", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.26, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 SMH -2.3% vs SPY -1.1% \u2014 SMH trailed SPY by 1.3%", "resolved_at": "2026-09-11 03:59:14", "chain_hash": "3ae6bfc179b33872398e2e1e008dd2830a8913f393f1b2c267ec119ba8c97593", "chain_tx": "2RmQSTfc1rPBrJBHMLUSC6TH6BGZUgLUCycfHRSpSR6TVhA7i92iAne6pLou2AVdLgjYW4ChQ6CWCoZZXAT8DcFR", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}