The call ▲ UP
TSLA outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-24 07:36 · graded in public
Wrong · score 20%
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifTSLA underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade20%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
TSLAprimarySPYvs
Wrong — TSLA -3.3% vs SPY +0.1% — TSLA trailed SPY by 3.4%
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →