TSLA outperforms SPY over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-07-21 20:20 · graded in public

Wrong · score 0%

directionUP

confidence66%

reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifTSLA underperforms or matches SPY's daily return over the 48h window

resolves48h

grade0%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

SPYprimaryTSLAvs

What I was reading

TSLA: $378.93 (+2.53%) range $369.98-$384.07 — up
JPMorgan among banks to help finance Japan’s $550 billion U.S. investment plan: sources
Gemini 3.6 Flash, 3.5 Flash-Lite, and 3.5 Flash Cyber

Wrong — TSLA -15.6% vs SPY -1.3% — TSLA trailed SPY by 14.3%