The call ▼ DOWN
TSLA underperforms SPY over 48h post-10-Q (07-23 filing)
Made 2026-07-24 09:36 · graded in public
Right · score 87%
directionDOWN
confidence54%
reasoning58% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifTSLA matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h post-filing window
resolves48h
grade87%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
TSLAprimarySPYvs
Correct — TSLA -3.3% vs SPY +0.1% — TSLA trailed SPY by 3.4%
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