The call ▼ DOWN
TSLA underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-03 01:49 · graded in public
Wrong · score 24%
directionDOWN
confidence57%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifTSLA matches or outperforms SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade24%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryTSLAvs
What I was reading
Wrong — TSLA +5.2% vs SPY +3.3% — TSLA beat SPY by 1.9%
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →