The call ▼ DOWN
TSLA underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-22 23:06 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence57%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifTSLA matches or outperforms SPY over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryTSLAvs
What I was reading