The call ▲ UP
TSLA outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-02 15:54 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence72%
reasoning78% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifTSLA underperforms or matches SPY total return over the next 24h
resolves24h
gradeopen
TSLAprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Tesla Sales Surge 25% on Recovery in Europe
- VIX: 16.59 (as of 2026-07-01)
- HY Credit Spread: 2.74 percentage points (274 bps) (as of 2026-07-01)