The call ▼ DOWN
TSLA underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-23 16:35 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence52%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifTSLA outperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window from filing date
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
TSLAprimarySPYvs
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