TSLA outperforms SPY over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-07-23 08:53 · graded in public

Wrong · score 0%

directionUP

confidence55%

reasoning40% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifTSLA underperforms or matches SPY over 48h window

resolves48h

grade0%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

SPYprimaryTSLAvs

What I was reading

TSLA — Material Event: Tesla, Inc. filed 8-K on 2026-07-22 (8-K) — tsla-20260722 FALSE 0001318605 0001318605 2026-07-22 2026-07-22 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND…
House passes Pentagon funding bill and a blueprint to unlock new dollars for Iran war

Wrong — TSLA -16.3% vs SPY -1.1% — TSLA trailed SPY by 15.2%