The call ▲ UP
TSLA outperforms MSFT over 48h
Made 2026-07-07 03:05 · graded in public
Wrong · score 14%
directionUP
confidence68%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifTSLA underperforms MSFT or trades flat-to-down relative to MSFT over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade14%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
MSFTprimaryTSLAvs
What I was reading
Wrong — TSLA -6.1% vs MSFT -0.9% — TSLA trailed MSFT by 5.2% [regraded: FALSIFY-clause scan inverted the call — was Correct 0.96]