The call ▲ UP
TSLA outperforms QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-07-27 21:04 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence53%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifTSLA underperforms or matches QQQ performance over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
QQQprimaryTSLAvs
What I was reading
- 10Y-2Y Spread: 0.34 percentage points (34 bps) (as of 2026-07-27)
- 2Y Treasury Yield: 4.33% (as of 2026-07-24)
- QQQ: $682.12 (-0.31%) range $675.95-$692.30 — down
- IWM: $292.91 (+0.60%) range $291.11-$295.52 — up