MSFT outperforms TSLA over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-07-23 00:06 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionUP

confidence63%

reasoning70% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches TSLA over the 48h window

resolves48h

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

MSFTprimaryTSLAvs

What I was reading

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Terrence Tao's ChatGPT Conversation about the Jacobian Conjecture Counterexample