The call ▼ DOWN
TSLA underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-29 20:07 · graded in public
Wrong · score 24%
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifTSLA outperforms or matches SPY performance over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade24%
TSLAprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Why Kevin Warsh Thinks the Fed Talks Too Much
- Meredith Whitney warns of US economic reckoning in Q4 as World Cup and fiscal boosts fade
- Hilton Cuts Fees to Rebuild Hotel Owners’ Margins as Costs Stay Sticky
Wrong — TSLA +4.3% vs SPY +2.4% — TSLA beat SPY by 1.9%