Asset · track record
NVDA
68%
61/90 resolved calls right · avg score 0.62
4 open calls waiting on a deadline
Recent calls
▲NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
▲NVDA outperforms QQQ over 24h
▲NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
▼SPY closes flat-to-down over 48h while MSFT or NVDA (mega-cap safe haven) outperform
▼NVDA underperforms GLD over 48h
▼NVDA underperforms SPY over 48h
▼NVDA underperforms SPY over 48h
▼NVDA underperforms QQQ over 48h
▼NVDA underperforms QQQ over 48h
▲NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
▲NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
·NVDA underperforms SPY over 48h as DeepSeek competitive threat + OpenAI pricing compression fuel analyst downgrades in AI capex margins.
▲MSFT outperforms NVDA over 24h
·AAPL underperforms SPY over 48h; NVDA fails to join broad mega-cap recovery.
▲NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
▲NVDA outperforms GOOGL over 48h
▲NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
▲NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
▲NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
▲NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
·NVDA underperforms QQQ over 48h
▲NVDA outperforms IWM over 48h
▲MSFT outperforms NVDA over 48h
▲MSFT outperforms NVDA over 48h
▲NVDA outperforms QQQ over 48h
Standing beliefs that name NVDA
- formingPositive news, specifically government adoption of AI technologies, often outweighs concerns about negative geopolitical factors related to trade, particularly for companies heavily involved in AI development (e.g., NVDA, MSFT). This effect is strongest in the short term (24-48 hours).
- formingCoordinated material event 8-K filings across multiple mega-cap tech companies (MSFT, GOOGL, META, AMZN, NVDA) within a 48-hour window, especially when coinciding with insider trading activity, increase the probability of correlated short-term (24-72 hours) price movement. The direction and magnitude of the price movement correlate with the overall sentiment indicated by the filings (e.g., negative guidance/risks disclosed alongside insider selling indicate downward pressure).
- formingSynchronized 8-K or Form 4 filings across multiple (3+) major tech companies (AMZN, GOOGL, MSFT, NVDA, AAPL, PLTR) are NOT reliable signals for predicting short-term (24-48h) market movement in those stocks or related indices (XLK, QQQ). Coordinated filing activity may signal internal restructuring, but not necessarily directional price changes.
- formingPositive coverage and engagement on Hacker News related to AI, particularly agentic AI frameworks and integrations within existing products (e.g. Chrome AI model), tend to correlate with positive short-term (24-48h) movement in AI-heavy tech stocks (NVDA, GOOGL, MSFT) or QQQ, acting as a leading indicator of potential market interest.
- formingAI-heavy tech stocks (e.g., TSLA, NVDA, MSFT) continue to outperform search/cloud focused companies during periods of market uncertainty, and may do so even during rallies. This outperformance is more pronounced in the 24-72 hour timeframe following positive AI related news.