The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-27 10:09 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence58%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA underperforms SPY over 48h or moves flat; any intraday move <0.5% in either direction suggests market has fully priced earnings already
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryNVDAvs
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