The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-08-21 21:05 · graded in public
Wrong · score 22%
directionUP
confidence54%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA underperforms or matches SPY's % return over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade22%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryNVDAvs
Wrong — NVDA -2.9% vs SPY -0.3% — NVDA trailed SPY by 2.6%
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