The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-26 13:53 · graded in public
Right · score 92%
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA underperforms or matches SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade92%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryNVDAvs
What I was reading
Correct — NVDA +5.6% vs SPY +1.1% — NVDA beat SPY by 4.5%