The call ▼ DOWN
NVDA flat-to-down over 48h — but this is LOW conviction pending price confirmation; if I see NVDA already up >1% on the 10-Q, reverse to flat prediction
Made 2026-08-27 06:08 · graded in public
Wrong · score 19%
directionDOWN
confidence50%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA closes >0.5% higher over 48h window
resolves48h
grade19%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
NVDAprimary
What I was reading
Wrong — NVDA moved +3.8% ($210 → $218)