The call ▼ DOWN
SPY outperforms or matches NVDA over 48h
Made 2026-09-02 05:38 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence52%
reasoning50% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryNVDAvs
What I was reading