The call FLAT
NVDA underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-24 01:18 · graded in public
Right · score 74%
direction—
confidence58%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA matches or outperforms SPY return over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade74%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryNVDAvs
Correct — NVDA -0.8% vs SPY +0.0% — NVDA trailed SPY by 0.8%
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