The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-21 07:42 · graded in public
Wrong · score 18%
directionUP
confidence58%
reasoning70% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA matches or underperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade18%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryNVDAvs
Wrong — NVDA -3.9% vs SPY +0.1% — NVDA trailed SPY by 4.0%
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