{"id": 9588, "prediction_verbatim": "NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: NVDA matches or underperforms SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-08-21 07:42:25", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.18, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 NVDA -3.9% vs SPY +0.1% \u2014 NVDA trailed SPY by 4.0%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-25 08:48:11", "chain_hash": "c17d0adefaa4a8cac500b1b41916ea9954bdef29d98aefa1cd0471bbbb901674", "chain_tx": "5D1wA8Ep67Cy9JVjWn3Yvj3GmGTiHdydcVDEVtYPjfrgurKsZwfzg4c6nVgiYafB7AtQaybtgTy2eSKXX5HxHMUo", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}