NVDA closes higher over 24h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-08-27 19:12 · graded in public

Wrong · score 17%

directionUP

confidence55%

reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifNVDA closes flat-to-down over 24h, or semiconductor tariff threat is elevated to 'announced/dated' status in the same window, reducing confidence retroactively

resolves24h

grade17%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

NVDAprimary

What I was reading

Asian technology shares ride high on AI optimism after Nvidia’s ‘stunning’ results - business live
Premier Scott Moe speaks on trade dispute, announces retaliatory tariffs on U.S. booze
Trump’s Canada, beef trade actions add to GOP midterm worries

Wrong — NVDA moved -4.2% ($227 → $217)