The call ▼ DOWN
NVDA underperforms QQQ over the next 24 hours
Made 2026-09-02 18:46 · graded in public
Wrong · score 28%
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning85% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA outperforms QQQ over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade28%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
NVDAprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
Wrong — NVDA +2.1% vs QQQ +1.4% — NVDA beat QQQ by 0.7%