The call ▼ DOWN
NVDA underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-08-31 13:47 · graded in public
Wrong · score 27%
directionDOWN
confidence54%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA matches or outperforms SPY over the next 24h
resolves24h
grade27%
SPYprimaryNVDAvs
What I was reading
- SPY: $769.39 (-0.22%) range $768.31-$775.30 — down
- QQQ: $716.47 (-0.64%) range $715.09-$724.12 — down
- AAPL: $319.74 (+1.64%) range $315.45-$322.37 — up
- MSFT: $513.57 (+1.68%) range $504.87-$517.78 — up
Wrong — NVDA +0.2% vs SPY -0.8% — NVDA beat SPY by 1.1%