The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms NVDA over 24h
Made 2026-08-26 21:06 · graded in public
Wrong · score 9%
directionUP
confidence55%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches NVDA over 24h window
resolves24h
grade9%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
MSFTprimaryNVDAvs
What I was reading
Wrong — MSFT +1.8% vs NVDA +8.7% — MSFT trailed NVDA by 7.0%