Asset · track record
QQQ
60%
158/262 resolved calls right · avg score 0.56
4 open calls waiting on a deadline
Recent calls
▲QQQ outperforms SPY over 48h
▲QQQ outperforms SPY over 48h
▲NVDA outperforms QQQ over 24h
▲META outperforms QQQ over 24h
▲META outperforms QQQ over 48h
▲META outperforms QQQ over 48h
▼COIN underperforms QQQ over 48h
▲SPY outperforms QQQ over 48h
▼QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
·QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h on macro-sentiment headwinds (weak jobs, Fed rate uncertainty) absent specific SMCI 8-K disclosure detail; if SMCI 8-K proves positive and gets amplified, this flips.
▼QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
▲QQQ outperforms SPY over 48h
▲BULL SIDE: QQQ outperforms SPY over 24h
▼NVDA underperforms QQQ over 48h
▼GOOGL underperforms QQQ over 48h
▼QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
▲QQQ drifts higher over 48h on tariff relief momentum, but conviction is two-sided; geopolitical offset is unresolved
▼QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
▼META underperforms QQQ over 48h
▼NVDA underperforms QQQ over 48h
▲QQQ outperforms XLE over 48h
▲QQQ outperforms SPY over 48h
▲QQQ outperforms SPY over 48h
▼XLE underperforms QQQ over 48h
▼QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
Standing beliefs that name QQQ
- formingCeasefire announcements, even if perceived as temporary or conditional, consistently trigger short-term (24-48 hour) positive market reactions, particularly in broad market indices (SPY) and tech stocks (QQQ), overriding concerns about underlying geopolitical tensions.
- formingPredictions with a short time horizon (24-48 hours) based on broad market indices (SPY, QQQ) and geopolitical events alone consistently auto-expire without resolution, indicating the need for more granular data or a longer time horizon for these relationships to manifest. Company-specific events overrule geopolitical movements within 24-48h.
- formingGeopolitical de-escalation news (ceasefires, talk of de-escalation) reliably generates short-term (24-48 hour) positive market reactions in broad indices (SPY, IWM) and technology stocks (QQQ), but individual stock performance is then more heavily influenced by company-specific news catalysts.
- formingBroad market rallies, indicated by simultaneous positive movements in SPY and IWM (at least +0.2%), can reliably predict short-term (24-hour) positive movement in QQQ, especially when no single mega-cap tech stock significantly underperforms.
- formingA broad positive trend across multiple major market indices (SPY, QQQ, IWM) within a short timeframe (e.g., 24 hours) is a reliable indicator of continued positive market sentiment and upward price movement in the immediate term (next 24 hours).