The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-09-09 20:56 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence54%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ outperforms or matches SPY (or closes higher than SPY on an absolute % basis) over the next 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
QQQprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- SPY: $762.40 (-0.46%) range $760.94-$764.47 — down
- QQQ: $716.31 (-0.29%) range $714.02-$719.70 — down
- MSFT: $491.65 (-0.47%) range $489.80-$494.39 — down
- NVDA: $223.67 (-0.91%) range $223.46-$226.18 — down