The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ and SPY trade FLAT TO SLIGHTLY DOWN over 48h; IWM underperforms QQQ by -0.3% to -1.2%.
Made 2026-09-08 09:30 · graded in public
Wrong · score 28%
directionDOWN
confidence54%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ closes +0.5% or higher over 48h, OR IWM outperforms QQQ by +0.5%+
resolves48h
grade28%
QQQprimarySPYvsIWMvs
What I was reading
- Canada braces for prolonged trade war as counter-tariffs on US take effect
- 1China’s Surging Exports Loom Over Trump’s Talks With Xi
Wrong — QQQ -0.4% vs SPY -1.0% — QQQ beat SPY by 0.6%