The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ vs SPY: LEAN DOWN — tariff escalation with no resolution date overrides narrative momentum; near-term supply-chain repricing dominates capex validation signals
Made 2026-09-08 12:30 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning70% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ outperforms SPY by >0.5% over 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
QQQprimary
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