The call FLAT
IWM underperforms QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-08-26 04:52 · graded in public
Right · score 76%
direction—
confidence58%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM closes higher than QQQ over the 48h window, or QQQ declines while IWM holds flat-to-up
resolves48h
grade76%
QQQprimaryIWMvs
What I was reading
- 10Y Treasury Yield: 4.70% (as of 2026-08-24)
- 2Y Treasury Yield: 4.24% (as of 2026-08-24)
- Canada announces 'dollar-for-dollar' retaliatory tariffs on US as high as 50%
- China hits out at 'illegal' new US sanctions on Iran and trading partners
Correct — IWM +0.2% vs QQQ +1.5% — IWM trailed QQQ by 1.3%