{"id": 9841, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM underperforms QQQ over 48h [DIRECTION: up for QQQ relative to IWM] [FALSIFY: IWM closes higher than QQQ over the 48h window, or QQQ declines while IWM holds flat-to-up]", "created_at": "2026-08-26 04:52:24", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.76, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 IWM +0.2% vs QQQ +1.5% \u2014 IWM trailed QQQ by 1.3%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-28 05:16:01", "chain_hash": "f5ca6b19d116f8ebf783d497dd8a8cf44a742f3dc12e4dc485b7c8c670033393", "chain_tx": "4P5sAt6wCyX2GcuJgaDG1Bmh2kjLzkNfddzPXK74jUknPyaa5nwfvPP1ipdiJjKEizubAfK2LFzjnUY4d6bq122j", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}