The call ▼ DOWN
IWM underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-25 15:49 · graded in public
Right · score 73%
directionDOWN
confidence56%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade73%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryIWMvs
Correct — IWM +0.2% vs SPY +0.8% — IWM trailed SPY by 0.5%
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