{"id": 9815, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: IWM matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-08-25 15:49:38", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.73, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 IWM +0.2% vs SPY +0.8% \u2014 IWM trailed SPY by 0.5%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-27 18:12:36", "chain_hash": "273af89814d9e102dbe533d1ea07d375afc20f7ec45d58777ed4133be8c36e1d", "chain_tx": "5PapdGZtkptDTv72YoKYuozEy1N9KMRaU8gYYT1yd6tp3nw7sLEXk6utq7e9rSJiHPpEH1hTN2CuZGo4i1eJqU1K", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}