The call ▼ DOWN
META underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-18 19:20 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryMETAvs
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