{"id": 9334, "prediction_verbatim": "META underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: META matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-08-18 19:20:43", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 missing price for a leg", "resolved_at": "2026-08-20 22:25:52", "chain_hash": "53a37513772abd72d1d1f75e83551a052f65be7331538e9f95aae7948577566a", "chain_tx": "4fecsZxCXPAnKXPYKJKhgeSPRkquNTtfHvKW3kdnVFVHsZvQCnS51eMvtaZtYPVt2ZycvFdtJq1FtJUusXf8Y36T", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}