The call ▼ DOWN
XLE underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-17 13:15 · graded in public
Wrong · score 18%
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade18%
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- Iran's Army Chief Offers $30K Reward For Kill Or Capture Of American Troops
- Qatar Denies Holding Iranian Pilots As Tehran Demands Answers Over Missing Airmen
- Trump Wants More Economic Pressure On Iran. What Are His Options?
- Shipping Slows Through Strait Of Hormuz After Tanker
Wrong — XLE +3.5% vs SPY -0.7% — XLE beat SPY by 4.1%