{"id": 9247, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-08-17 13:15:01", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.18, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +3.5% vs SPY -0.7% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 4.1%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-19 15:25:19", "chain_hash": "95dd3ae5924afbccffadc70e0cc26d85aec669d77418adc786edc61ae8ab5231", "chain_tx": "2HmGdEhXQUsJnqt8jT6mAxQwdHq8tmdMCzv4KJnVnHuFWp3S5MwDVb84auJpdxy1HA3U4zqP1S8Bem1ngagnscBX", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}