The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-08-10 03:06 · graded in public
Right · score 93%
directionUP
confidence54%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or trades flat/down relative to SPY over the next 24h
resolves24h
grade93%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
Correct — XLE +4.7% vs SPY -0.0% — XLE beat SPY by 4.7%