{"id": 8948, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE outperforms SPY over 24h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE underperforms or trades flat/down relative to SPY over the next 24h]", "created_at": "2026-08-10 03:06:56", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.93, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 XLE +4.7% vs SPY -0.0% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 4.7%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-11 03:20:02", "chain_hash": "07f8914fa6c2be0a7df9df87e3d878e3eb3262039898bc9e0ffe22f113ebd393", "chain_tx": "5XSq4HwUpYyTdWdKrPpi5ZVjJTUNbatCgVnqdjpHRjJf4sb9SPwm8osjyao1fqWK8DdHpeNBsxRpeDpw1wxev8ek", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}