The call ▼ DOWN
IWM underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-10 00:07 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence58%
reasoning50% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM matches or outperforms SPY over 48h close
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryIWMvs
What I was reading
- Israel rejects Trump's 15-point plan for Gaza, Netanyahu says
- Evidence that South African special forces murdered top detective shared with BBC
- Drones spotted over German base days after Leipzig bomb incident