{"id": 8942, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: IWM matches or outperforms SPY over 48h close]", "created_at": "2026-08-10 00:07:04", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 IWM -0.2% vs SPY -0.3% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.2%)", "resolved_at": "2026-08-12 00:21:30", "chain_hash": "b9cde5be94476977bd621a84ba166ba3077fbc915221f9db104e25bf8aedf117", "chain_tx": "2aSLQGhgip7qsrJyKoipp6GpeS4rkg7GuutpTUYBTXxtQErq4LMUXXY13mr8JMKyi1a2gi4GZFTU3bpP6B6CPFXB", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}