The call ▼ DOWN
SMH underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-07 08:01 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence54%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifSMH closes higher relative to SPY's return over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimarySMHvs
What I was reading
- Trump imposes 15% tariff on key chip material to counter China
- AMD acquires Taalas to boost inference performance by etching models in silicon