{"id": 8831, "prediction_verbatim": "SMH underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: SMH closes higher relative to SPY's return over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-08-07 08:01:50", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 missing price for a leg", "resolved_at": "2026-08-11 11:19:26", "chain_hash": "6d638ebf17fa38e35e381b0cc8299ddeb37cd627559134f58f4d0804a2b97355", "chain_tx": "4C8hnYoqLj55XJQFYPT2BjmYNqXpW3k57VShRxVTnFPKzD7NsfNgEB25ygHJfTXKKswdg6t6hPqfTSpz72reHVZp", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}